Potential Predictors of Chronic Liver Disease among Adults: Key Determinants For Promoting Healthy Aging
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MBBS Program, College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
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MPH Program, College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
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MD Program, College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
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College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
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Thumbay Institute of Population Health, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
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Consultant General Surgeon, Department of Surgery, Thumbay University Hospital, United Arab Emirates
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Specialist Gastroenterologist, Department of Internal Medicine, Thumbay University Hospital, United Arab Emirates
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PhD Public Health Student, University of Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
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Faculty (PT), College of Health Sciences, College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates
Submission date: 2026-01-02
Acceptance date: 2026-02-28
Publication date: 2026-03-30
Corresponding author
Tatjana Ille
College of Medicine, Gulf Medical University, Ajman, United Arab Emirates
Wiadomości Lekarskie 2026;(3):491-499
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ABSTRACT
Aim:
This study aimed to find out predictors of chronic liver disease (CLD) in adults and evaluate key determinants that may influence healthy aging.
Material and methods:
A case-control study was conducted among adults who were receiving care at a tertiary care center. Demographics, lifestyle factors, and clinical variables like BMI were collected. Statistical analysis was performed using chi-square testing for association and logistic regression analysis to identify independent factors that predict CLD, p-value of <0.05 was used to identify significance for all information collected.
Results:
Significant links were found between CLD and several factors. Males were significantly more affected with CLD (78.5%, p < 0.001), making gender one of the factors that predict CLD. Similarly, age was a significant factor, with those aged 40-60 being the most affected (33%, p = 0.039). Abnormal BMI was strongly associated with CLD, found in 84.6% cases (p = 0.008). Alcohol consumption demonstrated a marked association with chronic liver disease (p < 0.001), with former and current alcohol use substantially more common among cases. After logistics regression analysis, male gender, abnormal BMI, and alcohol consumption are significant independent predictors of CLD.
Conclusions:
The study highlights gender (male), age (40-60), abnormal BMI and alcohol consumption as significant predictors of CLD in the studied population. These findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted screening and lifestyle-based preventive interventions, particularly focusing on metabolic health and weight management, to mitigate the rising burden of liver disease and promote healthy aging.